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Tottenham Hotspur F.C. crestTottenham Hotspur F.C.vsAston Villa F.C. crestAston Villa F.C.

Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.39%

Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 39%
Draw 27%
Aston Villa F.C. 34%
  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 39%
  • Draw 27%
  • Aston Villa F.C. 34%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Tottenham Hotspur F.C., rating it at 38.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Aston Villa F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: WDWWW

Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.20Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-03Aston Villa F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.1–2
2025-10-19Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.1–2
2025-05-16Aston Villa F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.2–0
2024-11-03Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.4–1
2024-03-10Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur0–4
2023-11-26Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa1–2
2023-05-13Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur2–1
2023-01-01Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa0–2
2022-04-09Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur0–4
2021-10-03Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.

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