Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.39%
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 39%
- Draw 27%
- Aston Villa F.C. 34%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Tottenham Hotspur F.C., rating it at 38.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Aston Villa F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: WDWWW
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-16 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-03-10 | Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur | 0–4 |
| 2023-11-26 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-13 | Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-01 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2022-04-09 | Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur | 0–4 |
| 2021-10-03 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.