Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or draw66%
1X2: model backs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. at 37% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or draw66%
- Draw or Chelsea F.C.63%
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or Chelsea F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Tottenham Hotspur F.C., rating it at 37.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: DLLDD
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-03 | Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–4 |
| 2024-05-02 | Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-06 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC | 1–4 |
| 2023-02-26 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-14 | Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–2 |
| 2022-01-23 | Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (37% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.