Tottenham Hotspur F.C. crestTottenham Hotspur F.C.vsChelsea F.C. crestChelsea F.C.

Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or draw66%

1X2: model backs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. at 37% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko37% / 28% / 34%
  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C.
  • Draw
  • Chelsea F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or draw66%
  • Draw or Chelsea F.C.63%
  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or Chelsea F.C.72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.559%
  • Under 2.541%

Both teams to score

  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Chelsea F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Tottenham Hotspur F.C., rating it at 37.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: DLLDD

Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-01Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.1–2
2026-05-19Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.2–1
2025-11-01Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.0–1
2025-04-03Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.1–0
2024-12-08Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.3–4
2024-05-02Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur2–0
2023-11-06Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC1–4
2023-02-26Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC2–0
2022-08-14Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur2–2
2022-01-23Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (37% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
Sat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureChelsea vs Tottenham24 Oct 2026 →