West Ham United F.C.vs
Arsenal F.C.West Ham United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSun, 10 May 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: West Ham United F.C. 0–1 Arsenal F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.59%
- West Ham United F.C. 16%
- Draw 25%
- Arsenal F.C. 59%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 58.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and West Ham United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
West Ham United F.C.: DDWWD
Arsenal F.C.: WDWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | West Ham United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Arsenal F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Arsenal F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-30 | West Ham United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–5 |
| 2024-02-11 | West Ham United vs Arsenal | 0–6 |
| 2023-12-28 | Arsenal vs West Ham United | 0–2 |
| 2023-04-16 | West Ham United vs Arsenal | 2–2 |
| 2022-12-26 | Arsenal vs West Ham United | 3–1 |
| 2022-05-01 | West Ham United vs Arsenal | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-15 | Arsenal vs West Ham United | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win West Ham United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does West Ham United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 10 May 2026 15:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the West Ham United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.