?
West Ham United F.C. crestWest Ham United F.C.vsAFC Bournemouth crestAFC Bournemouth

West Ham United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Stats

English Premier LeagueSat, 21 Feb 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: West Ham United F.C. 00 AFC Bournemouth

Tofiko prediction

Model backs West Ham United F.C.44%

West Ham United F.C. 44%
Draw 23%
AFC Bournemouth 33%
  • West Ham United F.C. 44%
  • Draw 23%
  • AFC Bournemouth 33%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick West Ham United F.C., rating it at 44.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and West Ham United F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

West Ham United F.C.: DDWWD

AFC Bournemouth: WWDDW

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21West Ham United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth0–0
2025-11-22AFC Bournemouth vs West Ham United F.C.2–2
2025-04-05West Ham United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth2–2
2024-12-16AFC Bournemouth vs West Ham United F.C.1–1
2024-02-01West Ham United vs AFC Bournemouth1–1
2023-08-12AFC Bournemouth vs West Ham United1–1
2023-04-23AFC Bournemouth vs West Ham United0–4
2022-10-24West Ham United vs AFC Bournemouth2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win West Ham United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
Tofiko's model favours West Ham United F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does West Ham United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
Sat, 21 Feb 2026 17:30 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the West Ham United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 6 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.