West Ham United F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.West Ham United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 14 Mar 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: West Ham United F.C. 1–1 Manchester City F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.62%
- West Ham United F.C. 18%
- Draw 20%
- Manchester City F.C. 62%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 61.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and West Ham United F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
West Ham United F.C.: DDWWD
Manchester City F.C.: DLDWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | West Ham United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Manchester City F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-04 | Manchester City F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-08-31 | West Ham United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2024-05-19 | Manchester City vs West Ham United | 3–1 |
| 2023-09-16 | West Ham United vs Manchester City | 1–3 |
| 2023-05-03 | Manchester City vs West Ham United | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-07 | West Ham United vs Manchester City | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-15 | West Ham United vs Manchester City | 2–2 |
| 2021-11-28 | Manchester City vs West Ham United | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win West Ham United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does West Ham United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 14 Mar 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the West Ham United F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.