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F.C. Alverca crestF.C. AlvercavsAVS Futebol SAD crestAVS Futebol SAD

F.C. Alverca vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSat, 07 Mar 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: F.C. Alverca 00 AVS Futebol SAD

Tofiko prediction

Model backs F.C. Alverca59%

F.C. Alverca 59%
Draw 24%
AVS Futebol SAD 17%
  • F.C. Alverca 59%
  • Draw 24%
  • AVS Futebol SAD 17%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick F.C. Alverca, rating it at 58.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and F.C. Alverca won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. AVS Futebol SAD's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. F.C. Alverca's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

F.C. Alverca: WWWWL

AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-07F.C. Alverca vs AVS Futebol SAD0–0
2025-10-04AVS Futebol SAD vs F.C. Alverca1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win F.C. Alverca vs AVS Futebol SAD?
Tofiko's model favours F.C. Alverca (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does F.C. Alverca vs AVS Futebol SAD kick off?
Sat, 07 Mar 2026 15:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the F.C. Alverca vs AVS Futebol SAD head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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