C.S. Maritimovs
FC PortoC.S. Maritimo vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto75%
- C.S. Maritimo 6%
- Draw 20%
- FC Porto 75%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 74.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and C.S. Maritimo won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
C.S. Maritimo: WDWLW
FC Porto: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 83%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-01 | Maritimo vs FC Porto | 0–2 |
| 2022-08-06 | FC Porto vs Maritimo | 5–1 |
| 2022-01-30 | FC Porto vs Maritimo | 2–1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Maritimo vs FC Porto | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-22 | Maritimo vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2020-10-03 | FC Porto vs Maritimo | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win C.S. Maritimo vs FC Porto?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does C.S. Maritimo vs FC Porto kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the C.S. Maritimo vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.