Rio Ave F.C.vs
CD NacionalRio Ave F.C. 3-2 CD Nacional — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rio Ave F.C.49%
Tofiko49% / 26% / 26%
Market45% / 28% / 27%
- Rio Ave F.C.
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 48.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won 1 of 7, with 3 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 7Games
- 3.29Avg goals
- 71%Both scored
- 71%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional | 3–2 |
| 2026-01-25 | CD Nacional vs Rio Ave F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-10 | CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC | 3–3 |
| 2024-12-29 | Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional | 2–1 |
| 2021-05-19 | CD Nacional vs Rio Ave | 1–2 |
| 2021-02-05 | Rio Ave vs CD Nacional | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.29 goals per game.