Rio Ave F.C. crestRio Ave F.C.vsCD Nacional crestCD Nacional

Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rio Ave F.C.49%

Tofiko49% / 26% / 25%
Market42% / 28% / 30%
  • Rio Ave F.C.
  • Draw
  • CD Nacional

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Track this pick and follow it in My Picks

Free. It settles itself when the match ends, and we can email you before kick-off and with the result.

Over/Under, BTTS stats and Double Chance for this match are free with an account.

Analysis

Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 48.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 8 Oct 2026.

Rio Ave F.C.: LDLLW

CD Nacional: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 8 Oct 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-25CD Nacional vs Rio Ave F.C.4–0
2025-08-17Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional1–1
2025-05-10CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC3–3
2024-12-29Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional2–1
2021-05-19CD Nacional vs Rio Ave1–2
2021-02-05Rio Ave vs CD Nacional0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional?
Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureNacional vs Rio Ave7 Mar 2027 →