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Moreirense crestMoreirensevsGil Vicente FC crestGil Vicente FC

Moreirense vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Moreirense44%

Moreirense 44%
Draw 28%
Gil Vicente FC 27%
  • Moreirense 44%
  • Draw 28%
  • Gil Vicente FC 27%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Moreirense, rating it at 44.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Moreirense won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Moreirense: LWDLD

Gil Vicente FC: WDWDL

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25Gil Vicente FC vs Moreirense2–2
2026-02-07Moreirense vs Gil Vicente FC1–2
2025-08-29Gil Vicente FC vs Moreirense2–0
2025-04-06Gil Vicente FC vs Moreirense0–1
2024-11-08Moreirense vs Gil Vicente FC3–2
2024-04-20Moreirense vs Gil Vicente0–1
2023-12-11Gil Vicente vs Moreirense1–1
2022-04-08Gil Vicente vs Moreirense1–2
2021-11-26Moreirense vs Gil Vicente2–2
2021-04-11Gil Vicente vs Moreirense1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Moreirense vs Gil Vicente FC?
Tofiko's model favours Moreirense (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Moreirense vs Gil Vicente FC kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Moreirense vs Gil Vicente FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

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