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FC Famalicao crestFC FamalicaovsF.C. Alverca crestF.C. Alverca

FC Famalicao vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Famalicao63%

FC Famalicao 63%
Draw 24%
F.C. Alverca 13%
  • FC Famalicao 63%
  • Draw 24%
  • F.C. Alverca 13%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 63.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Famalicao won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Famalicao: DLDDW

F.C. Alverca: WWWWL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16FC Famalicao vs F.C. Alverca1–0
2026-01-04F.C. Alverca vs FC Famalicao1–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC Famalicao vs F.C. Alverca?
Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Famalicao vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Famalicao vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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