SL Benficavs
Vitoria GuimaraesSL Benfica 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica73%
Tofiko73% / 19% / 8%
Market80% / 13% / 7%
- SL Benfica
- Draw
- Vitoria Guimaraes
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 73.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 8 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026.
SL Benfica: WLWWW
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 2–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
| 2025-04-19 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
| 2024-12-07 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-02 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 4–0 |
| 2023-03-18 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 5–1 |
| 2022-10-01 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica | 0–0 |
| 2022-02-27 | SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.