SL Benfica crestSL BenficavsVitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria Guimaraes

SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SL Benfica76%

Tofiko76% / 18% / 6%
  • SL Benfica
  • Draw
  • Vitoria Guimaraes

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 76.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 7 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 20 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SL Benfica: LWWWW

Vitoria Guimaraes: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 20 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-21SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0
2025-11-01Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica0–3
2025-04-19Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica0–3
2024-12-07SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–0
2024-02-11Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica2–2
2023-09-02SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes4–0
2023-03-18SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes5–1
2022-10-01Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica0–0
2022-02-27SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes3–0
2021-10-27Vitoria Guimaraes vs SL Benfica3–3

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FAQ

Who will win SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the SL Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureVitória SC vs Benfica7 Mar 2027 →