F.C. Alverca crestF.C. AlvercavsFC Porto crestFC Porto

F.C. Alverca vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Porto to win73%

1X2: model backs FC Porto at 73%.

Tofiko7% / 20% / 73%
  • F.C. Alverca
  • Draw
  • FC Porto

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • F.C. Alverca or draw27%
  • Draw or FC Porto93%
  • F.C. Alverca or FC Porto80%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • F.C. Alverca, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • FC Porto, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 73.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and F.C. Alverca won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 98 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

F.C. Alverca: WWLDL

FC Porto: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 98 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-09FC Porto vs F.C. Alverca2–0
2026-05-02FC Porto vs F.C. Alverca1–0
2025-12-22F.C. Alverca vs FC Porto0–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win F.C. Alverca vs FC Porto?
Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does F.C. Alverca vs FC Porto kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the F.C. Alverca vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legFC Porto 2-0 Alverca9 Aug 2026 →