Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rio Ave F.C.49%
- Rio Ave F.C. 49%
- Draw 28%
- Casa Pia AC 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Rio Ave F.C.: WWDWW
Casa Pia AC: LLWWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia AC | 2–2 |
| 2024-02-11 | Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-02 | Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-16 | Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Casa Pia AC(N) vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.