Rio Ave F.C.vs
Casa Pia ACRio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Rio Ave F.C. or draw77%
1X2: model backs Rio Ave F.C. at 49% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Rio Ave F.C.
- Draw
- Casa Pia AC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rio Ave F.C. or draw77%
- Draw or Casa Pia AC51%
- Rio Ave F.C. or Casa Pia AC72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.537%
- Under 2.563%
Both teams to score
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Casa Pia AC, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rio Ave F.C., rating it at 49.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Rio Ave F.C. won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Casa Pia AC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Casa Pia AC: LWLDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia AC | 2–2 |
| 2024-02-11 | Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-02 | Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-16 | Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Casa Pia AC(N) vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Rio Ave F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.