CD Nacionalvs
SL BenficaCD Nacional vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
SL Benfica to win75%
1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 75%.
- CD Nacional
- Draw
- SL Benfica
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- CD Nacional or draw25%
- Draw or SL Benfica94%
- CD Nacional or SL Benfica81%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- CD Nacional, last 10 home games5 of 10
- SL Benfica, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (303 games)50%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 75.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and CD Nacional won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
CD Nacional: LLLLL
SL Benfica: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | SL Benfica vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | CD Nacional vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
| 2025-03-08 | SL Benfica vs CD Nacional | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-19 | CD Nacional vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2021-05-11 | CD Nacional vs SL Benfica | 1–3 |
| 2021-01-25 | SL Benfica vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Nacional vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.