CD Nacionalvs
SL BenficaCD Nacional vs SL Benfica Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica75%
- CD Nacional 6%
- Draw 19%
- SL Benfica 75%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 75.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and CD Nacional won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. CD Nacional's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
CD Nacional: LLDDD
SL Benfica: WWWLW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | SL Benfica vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | CD Nacional vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
| 2025-03-08 | SL Benfica vs CD Nacional | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-19 | CD Nacional vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2021-05-11 | CD Nacional vs SL Benfica | 1–3 |
| 2021-01-25 | SL Benfica vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win CD Nacional vs SL Benfica?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CD Nacional vs SL Benfica kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the CD Nacional vs SL Benfica head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.