SC Braga crestSC BragavsFC Arouca crestFC Arouca

SC Braga vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SC Braga to win72%

1X2: model backs SC Braga at 72%.

Tofiko72% / 19% / 8%
  • SC Braga
  • Draw
  • FC Arouca

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SC Braga or draw92%
  • Draw or FC Arouca28%
  • SC Braga or FC Arouca81%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.560%
  • Under 2.540%

Both teams to score

  • SC Braga, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • FC Arouca, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (303 games)50%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Braga, rating it at 72.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SC Braga won 9 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SC Braga: LDWLW

FC Arouca: DLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12SC Braga vs FC Arouca1–0
2025-12-01FC Arouca vs SC Braga0–4
2025-03-29SC Braga vs FC Arouca2–1
2024-11-03FC Arouca vs SC Braga1–2
2024-04-06SC Braga vs FC Arouca0–3
2023-11-12FC Arouca vs SC Braga0–1
2023-02-19SC Braga vs FC Arouca2–0
2022-08-28FC Arouca vs SC Braga0–6
2022-05-08SC Braga vs FC Arouca1–0
2021-12-30FC Arouca vs SC Braga0–6

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FAQ

Who will win SC Braga vs FC Arouca?
Tofiko's model favours SC Braga (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Braga vs FC Arouca kick off?
Sun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the SC Braga vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureArouca vs SC Braga18 Apr 2027 →