SC Bragavs
FC AroucaSC Braga vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Braga72%
- SC Braga 72%
- Draw 19%
- FC Arouca 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Braga, rating it at 72.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SC Braga won 9 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SC Braga: WWWDW
FC Arouca: WLDDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | SC Braga vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-01 | FC Arouca vs SC Braga | 0–4 |
| 2025-03-29 | SC Braga vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-03 | FC Arouca vs SC Braga | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-06 | SC Braga vs FC Arouca | 0–3 |
| 2023-11-12 | FC Arouca vs SC Braga | 0–1 |
| 2023-02-19 | SC Braga vs FC Arouca | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-28 | FC Arouca vs SC Braga | 0–6 |
| 2022-05-08 | SC Braga vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-30 | FC Arouca vs SC Braga | 0–6 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SC Braga vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Braga (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Braga vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SC Braga vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.