FC Aroucavs
C.S. MaritimoFC Arouca vs C.S. Maritimo Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Arouca61%
- FC Arouca 61%
- Draw 24%
- C.S. Maritimo 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 60.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Arouca won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Arouca: WLDDL
C.S. Maritimo: WDWLW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-08 | FC Arouca vs Maritimo | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-23 | Maritimo vs FC Arouca | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-14 | FC Arouca vs Maritimo | 0–3 |
| 2021-09-13 | Maritimo vs FC Arouca | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs C.S. Maritimo?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs C.S. Maritimo kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs C.S. Maritimo head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.