CD Nacional crestCD NacionalvsFC Arouca crestFC Arouca

CD Nacional vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 21 Mar 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CD Nacional37%

Tofiko37% / 28% / 36%
  • CD Nacional
  • Draw
  • FC Arouca

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick CD Nacional, rating it at 36.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and CD Nacional won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

CD Nacional: LLLLL

FC Arouca: DLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21FC Arouca vs CD Nacional3–0
2025-09-20CD Nacional vs FC Arouca1–2
2025-02-01CD Nacional vs FC Arouca1–2
2024-08-25FC Arouca vs CD Nacional1–0

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FAQ

Who will win CD Nacional vs FC Arouca?
Tofiko's model favours CD Nacional (37% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CD Nacional vs FC Arouca kick off?
Sun, 21 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the CD Nacional vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureArouca vs Nacional1 Nov 2026 →