FC Arouca crestFC AroucavsSC Braga crestSC Braga

FC Arouca vs SC Braga Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SC Braga to win56%

1X2: model backs SC Braga at 56%.

Tofiko20% / 24% / 56%
  • FC Arouca
  • Draw
  • SC Braga

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Arouca or draw44%
  • Draw or SC Braga80%
  • FC Arouca or SC Braga76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

  • FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • SC Braga, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Braga, rating it at 56.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won 1 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Arouca: WDLDW

SC Braga: LDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12SC Braga vs FC Arouca1–0
2025-12-01FC Arouca vs SC Braga0–4
2025-03-29SC Braga vs FC Arouca2–1
2024-11-03FC Arouca vs SC Braga1–2
2024-04-06SC Braga vs FC Arouca0–3
2023-11-12FC Arouca vs SC Braga0–1
2023-02-19SC Braga vs FC Arouca2–0
2022-08-28FC Arouca vs SC Braga0–6
2022-05-08SC Braga vs FC Arouca1–0
2021-12-30FC Arouca vs SC Braga0–6

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FAQ

Who will win FC Arouca vs SC Braga?
Tofiko's model favours SC Braga (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Arouca vs SC Braga kick off?
Sun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Arouca vs SC Braga head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureSC Braga vs Arouca6 Dec 2026 →