AVS Futebol SADvs
FC AroucaAVS Futebol SAD 0-1 FC Arouca — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSat, 17 Jan 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Arouca51%
- AVS Futebol SAD 25%
- Draw 24%
- FC Arouca 51%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 51.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AVS Futebol SAD won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
AVS Futebol SAD: WDDLD
FC Arouca: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Arouca | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-09 | FC Arouca vs AVS Futebol SAD | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-08 | AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Arouca | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-05 | FC Arouca vs AVS Futebol SAD | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sat, 17 Jan 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.