FC Aroucavs
Estrela AmadoraFC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 11 Oct 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Arouca62%
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- Estrela Amadora
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 61.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and FC Arouca won 3 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. FC Arouca's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 20 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Arouca: DLDWL
Estrela Amadora: LDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 20 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-19 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-09 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-05 | FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora | 0–0 |
| 2023-12-28 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Arouca | 1–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs Estrela Amadora head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.