AVS Futebol SADvs
FC PortoAVS Futebol SAD vs FC Porto Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 10 May 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: AVS Futebol SAD 3–1 FC Porto
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto79%
- AVS Futebol SAD 4%
- Draw 17%
- FC Porto 79%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 78.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AVS Futebol SAD won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 78.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AVS Futebol SAD's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC Porto's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 17.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD
FC Porto: WWLWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Porto | 3–1 |
| 2025-12-29 | FC Porto vs AVS Futebol SAD | 2–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | FC Porto vs AVS Futebol SAD | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-28 | AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Porto | 0–5 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Porto?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Porto kick off?
- Sun, 10 May 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Porto head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.