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AVS Futebol SAD crestAVS Futebol SADvsVitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria Guimaraes

AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSat, 11 Apr 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: AVS Futebol SAD 11 Vitoria Guimaraes

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes56%

AVS Futebol SAD 20%
Draw 23%
Vitoria Guimaraes 56%
  • AVS Futebol SAD 20%
  • Draw 23%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes 56%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 56.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and AVS Futebol SAD won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD

Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–1
2025-11-28Vitoria Guimaraes vs AVS Futebol SAD4–0
2025-02-01Vitoria Guimaraes vs AVS Futebol SAD2–0
2024-08-25AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
Sat, 11 Apr 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

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