AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSat, 11 Apr 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: AVS Futebol SAD 1–1 Vitoria Guimaraes
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes56%
- AVS Futebol SAD 20%
- Draw 23%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 56%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 56.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AVS Futebol SAD won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD
Vitoria Guimaraes: WDWWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs AVS Futebol SAD | 4–0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs AVS Futebol SAD | 2–0 |
| 2024-08-25 | AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the AVS Futebol SAD vs Vitoria Guimaraes head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.