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AVS Futebol SAD crestAVS Futebol SADvsSporting CP crestSporting CP

AVS Futebol SAD vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 26 Apr 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: AVS Futebol SAD 11 Sporting CP

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sporting CP83%

AVS Futebol SAD 4%
Draw 13%
Sporting CP 83%
  • AVS Futebol SAD 4%
  • Draw 13%
  • Sporting CP 83%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 82.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and AVS Futebol SAD won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 82.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 13.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD

Sporting CP: WWWWD

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26AVS Futebol SAD vs Sporting CP1–1
2025-12-13Sporting CP vs AVS Futebol SAD6–0
2025-02-23AVS Futebol SAD vs Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
2024-09-22Sporting Clube de Portugal vs AVS Futebol SAD3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AVS Futebol SAD vs Sporting CP?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (83% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AVS Futebol SAD vs Sporting CP kick off?
Sun, 26 Apr 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the AVS Futebol SAD vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.

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