SL Benficavs
AVS Futebol SADSL Benfica vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSat, 21 Feb 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: SL Benfica 3–0 AVS Futebol SAD
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica87%
- SL Benfica 87%
- Draw 11%
- AVS Futebol SAD 2%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 87.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and SL Benfica won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 87.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 10.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SL Benfica: WWWLW
AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | SL Benfica vs AVS Futebol SAD | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-20 | AVS Futebol SAD vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
| 2025-04-27 | SL Benfica vs AVS Futebol SAD | 6–0 |
| 2024-12-15 | AVS Futebol SAD vs SL Benfica | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs AVS Futebol SAD?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (87% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs AVS Futebol SAD kick off?
- Sat, 21 Feb 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs AVS Futebol SAD head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.