SL Benficavs
GD Estoril PraiaSL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica78%
- SL Benfica 78%
- Draw 17%
- GD Estoril Praia 5%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 78.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 9 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. GD Estoril Praia's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SL Benfica: WWWLW
GD Estoril Praia: DDDLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | GD Estoril Praia vs SL Benfica | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-03 | SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | GD Estoril Praia vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
| 2024-12-23 | SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia | 3–0 |
| 2024-03-10 | SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia | 3–1 |
| 2023-10-07 | GD Estoril Praia vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
| 2023-04-23 | SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-06 | GD Estoril Praia vs SL Benfica | 1–5 |
| 2022-03-20 | SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia | 2–1 |
| 2021-10-30 | GD Estoril Praia vs SL Benfica | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs GD Estoril Praia head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.