SL Benfica crestSL BenficavsGil Vicente FC crestGil Vicente FC

SL Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente FC — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SL Benfica76%

  • SL Benfica 76%
  • Draw 17%
  • Gil Vicente FC 7%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 75.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 9 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Gil Vicente FC's 4 produced 7, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 17.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

SL Benfica: WWWWW

Gil Vicente FC: LLDW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.60Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 90%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-13SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC3–1
2026-03-02Gil Vicente FC vs SL Benfica1–2
2025-09-26SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC2–1
2025-03-28Gil Vicente FC vs SL Benfica0–3
2024-09-28SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC5–1
2024-02-04SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente3–0
2023-08-26Gil Vicente vs SL Benfica2–3
2023-04-29Gil Vicente vs SL Benfica0–2
2022-11-13SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente3–1
2022-02-02SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureGIL Vicente vs Benfica21 Feb 2027 →