SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica77%
- SL Benfica 77%
- Draw 18%
- Gil Vicente FC 5%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 77.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 9 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Gil Vicente FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 17.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SL Benfica: WWWLW
Gil Vicente FC: WDWDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | Gil Vicente FC vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-26 | SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-28 | Gil Vicente FC vs SL Benfica | 0–3 |
| 2024-09-28 | SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC | 5–1 |
| 2024-02-04 | SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente | 3–0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Gil Vicente vs SL Benfica | 2–3 |
| 2023-04-29 | Gil Vicente vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2022-11-13 | SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente | 3–1 |
| 2022-02-02 | SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente | 1–2 |
| 2021-08-21 | Gil Vicente vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (77% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.