SL Benficavs
CD NacionalSL Benfica vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
SL Benfica to win79%
1X2: model backs SL Benfica at 79%.
- SL Benfica
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SL Benfica or draw95%
- Draw or CD Nacional21%
- SL Benfica or CD Nacional84%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.565%
- Under 2.535%
Both teams to score
- SL Benfica, last 10 home games7 of 10
- CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 79.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and SL Benfica won 5 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SL Benfica: WLWWW
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | SL Benfica vs CD Nacional | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | CD Nacional vs SL Benfica | 1–2 |
| 2025-03-08 | SL Benfica vs CD Nacional | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-19 | CD Nacional vs SL Benfica | 0–2 |
| 2021-05-11 | CD Nacional vs SL Benfica | 1–3 |
| 2021-01-25 | SL Benfica vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.