SL Benficavs
SC BragaSL Benfica vs SC Braga Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SL Benfica69%
- SL Benfica 69%
- Draw 21%
- SC Braga 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 69.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. SC Braga's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SL Benfica: WWWLW
SC Braga: WWWDW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | SL Benfica vs SC Braga | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-28 | SC Braga vs SL Benfica | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-17 | SC Braga vs SL Benfica | 1–1 |
| 2025-01-04 | SL Benfica vs SC Braga | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-27 | SL Benfica vs SC Braga | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-17 | SC Braga vs SL Benfica | 0–1 |
| 2023-05-06 | SL Benfica vs SC Braga | 1–0 |
| 2022-12-30 | SC Braga vs SL Benfica | 3–0 |
| 2022-04-01 | SC Braga vs SL Benfica | 3–2 |
| 2021-11-07 | SL Benfica vs SC Braga | 6–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SL Benfica vs SC Braga?
- Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SL Benfica vs SC Braga kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the SL Benfica vs SC Braga head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.