Casa Pia AC crestCasa Pia ACvsF.C. Alverca crestF.C. Alverca

Casa Pia AC vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Casa Pia AC or draw76%

1X2: model backs Casa Pia AC at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko48% / 27% / 24%
  • Casa Pia AC
  • Draw
  • F.C. Alverca

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Casa Pia AC or draw76%
  • Draw or F.C. Alverca52%
  • Casa Pia AC or F.C. Alverca73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.540%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • Casa Pia AC, last 10 home games3 of 10
  • F.C. Alverca, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Casa Pia AC, rating it at 48.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Casa Pia AC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Casa Pia AC: LWLDL

F.C. Alverca: WWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12F.C. Alverca vs Casa Pia AC3–1
2025-11-29Casa Pia AC vs F.C. Alverca0–2

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FAQ

Who will win Casa Pia AC vs F.C. Alverca?
Tofiko's model favours Casa Pia AC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Casa Pia AC vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
Sun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Casa Pia AC vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAlverca vs Casa Pia7 Nov 2026 →