Casa Pia ACvs
AVS Futebol SADCasa Pia AC 3-3 AVS Futebol SAD — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaFri, 23 Jan 2026 20:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Casa Pia AC62%
- Casa Pia AC 62%
- Draw 23%
- AVS Futebol SAD 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Casa Pia AC, rating it at 61.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Casa Pia AC won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Casa Pia AC's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 1 of them and conceded in 5. AVS Futebol SAD's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Casa Pia AC: LLLLL
AVS Futebol SAD: WDDLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Casa Pia AC vs AVS Futebol SAD | 3–3 |
| 2025-08-15 | AVS Futebol SAD vs Casa Pia AC | 0–2 |
| 2025-04-19 | AVS Futebol SAD vs Casa Pia AC | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-08 | Casa Pia AC vs AVS Futebol SAD | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia AC vs AVS Futebol SAD?
- Tofiko's model favours Casa Pia AC (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Casa Pia AC vs AVS Futebol SAD kick off?
- Fri, 23 Jan 2026 20:15 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Casa Pia AC vs AVS Futebol SAD head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.