Casa Pia ACvs
CD NacionalCasa Pia AC vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Casa Pia AC to win53%
1X2: model backs Casa Pia AC at 53%.
- Casa Pia AC
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Casa Pia AC or draw80%
- Draw or CD Nacional47%
- Casa Pia AC or CD Nacional73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.539%
- Under 2.561%
Both teams to score
- Casa Pia AC, last 10 home games3 of 10
- CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Casa Pia AC, rating it at 53.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Casa Pia AC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Casa Pia AC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 62 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Casa Pia AC: LWLDL
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 62 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Casa Pia AC vs CD Nacional | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-16 | CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC | 3–1 |
| 2024-10-25 | Casa Pia AC vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia AC vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours Casa Pia AC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Casa Pia AC vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Casa Pia AC vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.