Casa Pia ACvs
Rio Ave F.C.Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Casa Pia AC or draw75%
1X2: model backs Casa Pia AC at 47% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Casa Pia AC
- Draw
- Rio Ave F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Casa Pia AC or draw75%
- Draw or Rio Ave F.C.53%
- Casa Pia AC or Rio Ave F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.537%
- Under 2.563%
Both teams to score
- Casa Pia AC, last 10 home games3 of 10
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Casa Pia AC, rating it at 46.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Casa Pia AC won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rio Ave F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. Casa Pia AC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Casa Pia AC: LWLDL
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 189 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Rio Ave F.C. vs Casa Pia AC | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia AC | 2–2 |
| 2024-02-11 | Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-02 | Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-16 | Rio Ave vs Casa Pia AC | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Casa Pia AC(N) vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Casa Pia AC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Casa Pia AC vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.