Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 03 May 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Casa Pia AC 0–1 C.D. Tondela
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Casa Pia AC53%
- Casa Pia AC 53%
- Draw 24%
- C.D. Tondela 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Casa Pia AC, rating it at 52.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Casa Pia AC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Casa Pia AC: LLWWD
C.D. Tondela: LDLLW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-21 | C.D. Tondela vs Casa Pia AC | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela?
- Tofiko's model favours Casa Pia AC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
- Sun, 03 May 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.