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Casa Pia AC crestCasa Pia ACvsC.D. Tondela crestC.D. Tondela

Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 03 May 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Casa Pia AC 01 C.D. Tondela

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Casa Pia AC53%

Casa Pia AC 53%
Draw 24%
C.D. Tondela 23%
  • Casa Pia AC 53%
  • Draw 24%
  • C.D. Tondela 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Casa Pia AC, rating it at 52.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Casa Pia AC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Casa Pia AC: LLWWD

C.D. Tondela: LDLLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-03Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela0–1
2025-12-21C.D. Tondela vs Casa Pia AC1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela?
Tofiko's model favours Casa Pia AC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
Sun, 03 May 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Casa Pia AC vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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