GD Estoril Praia vs F.C. Alverca Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs GD Estoril Praia57%
- GD Estoril Praia 57%
- Draw 24%
- F.C. Alverca 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick GD Estoril Praia, rating it at 57.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and GD Estoril Praia won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
GD Estoril Praia: DDDLW
F.C. Alverca: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | F.C. Alverca vs GD Estoril Praia | 2–0 |
| 2026-05-10 | F.C. Alverca vs GD Estoril Praia | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-27 | GD Estoril Praia vs F.C. Alverca | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win GD Estoril Praia vs F.C. Alverca?
- Tofiko's model favours GD Estoril Praia (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does GD Estoril Praia vs F.C. Alverca kick off?
- Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the GD Estoril Praia vs F.C. Alverca head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.