GD Estoril Praiavs
FC AroucaGD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 06 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs GD Estoril Praia51%
- GD Estoril Praia 51%
- Draw 25%
- FC Arouca 24%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick GD Estoril Praia, rating it at 51.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and GD Estoril Praia won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
GD Estoril Praia: DDDLW
FC Arouca: WLDDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.80Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia | 3–2 |
| 2025-11-07 | GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca | 4–3 |
| 2025-03-16 | FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-26 | GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca | 4–1 |
| 2024-01-20 | GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca | 1–2 |
| 2023-08-13 | FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia | 4–3 |
| 2023-05-15 | GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca | 2–0 |
| 2023-01-07 | FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia | 2–0 |
| 2022-01-27 | GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca | 1–2 |
| 2021-08-07 | FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca?
- Tofiko's model favours GD Estoril Praia (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.