GD Estoril Praia crestGD Estoril PraiavsFC Arouca crestFC Arouca

GD Estoril Praia 0-0 FC Arouca — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaMon, 07 Sep 2026 19:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs GD Estoril Praia43%

  • GD Estoril Praia 43%
  • Draw 23%
  • FC Arouca 34%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks GD Estoril Praia, rating it at 43.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and GD Estoril Praia won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 14 Sep 2026.

GD Estoril Praia: DLLLD

FC Arouca: LDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.60Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-07GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca0–0
2026-04-06FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia3–2
2025-11-07GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca4–3
2025-03-16FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia1–1
2024-10-26GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca4–1
2024-01-20GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca1–2
2023-08-13FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia4–3
2023-05-15GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca2–0
2023-01-07FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia2–0
2022-01-27GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca?
Tofiko's model favours GD Estoril Praia (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca kick off?
Mon, 07 Sep 2026 19:15 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the GD Estoril Praia vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureArouca vs Estoril14 Feb 2027 →