GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
GD Estoril Praia to win61%
1X2: model backs GD Estoril Praia at 61%.
- GD Estoril Praia
- Draw
- CD Nacional
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- GD Estoril Praia or draw85%
- Draw or CD Nacional39%
- GD Estoril Praia or CD Nacional76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- GD Estoril Praia, last 10 home games5 of 10
- CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick GD Estoril Praia, rating it at 61.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 5 times, and GD Estoril Praia won 2 of 5, with 2 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. GD Estoril Praia's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
GD Estoril Praia: LLLDL
CD Nacional: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 5Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia | 2–0 |
| 2026-03-15 | CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia | 0–1 |
| 2025-10-26 | GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional | 1–1 |
| 2025-02-15 | CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia | 2–2 |
| 2024-09-15 | GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional?
- Tofiko's model favours GD Estoril Praia (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
- In their last 5 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.