GD Estoril Praia crestGD Estoril PraiavsCD Nacional crestCD Nacional

GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

GD Estoril Praia to win61%

1X2: model backs GD Estoril Praia at 61%.

Tofiko61% / 24% / 15%
  • GD Estoril Praia
  • Draw
  • CD Nacional

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • GD Estoril Praia or draw85%
  • Draw or CD Nacional39%
  • GD Estoril Praia or CD Nacional76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.550%
  • Under 2.550%

Both teams to score

  • GD Estoril Praia, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick GD Estoril Praia, rating it at 61.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and GD Estoril Praia won 2 of 5, with 2 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. GD Estoril Praia's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

GD Estoril Praia: LLLDL

CD Nacional: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 5Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 20%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-16CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia2–0
2026-03-15CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia0–1
2025-10-26GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional1–1
2025-02-15CD Nacional vs GD Estoril Praia2–2
2024-09-15GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional?
Tofiko's model favours GD Estoril Praia (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional kick off?
Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the GD Estoril Praia vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legNacional 2-0 Estoril16 Aug 2026 →