GD Estoril Praia crestGD Estoril PraiavsC.D. Tondela crestC.D. Tondela

GD Estoril Praia 2-2 C.D. Tondela — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSat, 07 Feb 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs GD Estoril Praia59%

  • GD Estoril Praia 59%
  • Draw 22%
  • C.D. Tondela 19%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick GD Estoril Praia, rating it at 59.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and GD Estoril Praia won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

GD Estoril Praia: LLLDD

C.D. Tondela: LLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-07GD Estoril Praia vs C.D. Tondela2–2
2025-08-31C.D. Tondela vs GD Estoril Praia2–2
2022-02-12GD Estoril Praia vs Desportivo de Tondela1–0
2021-09-13Desportivo de Tondela vs GD Estoril Praia1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win GD Estoril Praia vs C.D. Tondela?
Tofiko's model favours GD Estoril Praia (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does GD Estoril Praia vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
Sat, 07 Feb 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the GD Estoril Praia vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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