Estrela Amadoravs
FC FamalicaoEstrela Amadora 2-2 FC Famalicao — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Famalicao42%
- Estrela Amadora 32%
- Draw 26%
- FC Famalicao 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 41.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and Estrela Amadora won 2 of 7, with 4 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Estrela Amadora's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. FC Famalicao's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
Estrela Amadora: WDWDD
FC Famalicao: DDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 1.86Avg goals
- 29%Both scored
- 43%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Famalicao | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-11 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Famalicao | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-27 | FC Famalicao vs Estrela Amadora | 2–3 |
| 2025-01-25 | FC Famalicao vs Estrela Amadora | 0–0 |
| 2024-08-19 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Famalicao | 0–3 |
| 2024-03-16 | FC Famalicao vs Estrela Amadora | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Estrela Amadora vs FC Famalicao | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs FC Famalicao?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs FC Famalicao kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs FC Famalicao head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.86 goals per game.