Estrela Amadoravs
C.D. TondelaEstrela Amadora 0-2 C.D. Tondela — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaFri, 20 Feb 2026 20:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Estrela Amadora47%
Tofiko47% / 25% / 28%
Market36% / 30% / 34%
- Estrela Amadora
- Draw
- C.D. Tondela
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 47.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Estrela Amadora won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Estrela Amadora's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026.
Estrela Amadora: LDWDW
C.D. Tondela: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Estrela Amadora vs C.D. Tondela | 0–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | C.D. Tondela vs Estrela Amadora | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs C.D. Tondela?
- Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
- Fri, 20 Feb 2026 20:45 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.