Estrela Amadoravs
C.D. TondelaEstrela Amadora vs C.D. Tondela Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaFri, 20 Feb 2026 20:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Estrela Amadora 0–2 C.D. Tondela
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Estrela Amadora47%
- Estrela Amadora 47%
- Draw 25%
- C.D. Tondela 28%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Estrela Amadora, rating it at 47.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Estrela Amadora won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Estrela Amadora: WWDWL
C.D. Tondela: LDLLW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Estrela Amadora vs C.D. Tondela | 0–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | C.D. Tondela vs Estrela Amadora | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora vs C.D. Tondela?
- Tofiko's model favours Estrela Amadora (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Estrela Amadora vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
- Fri, 20 Feb 2026 20:45 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Estrela Amadora vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.