Vitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria GuimaraesvsC.S. Maritimo crestC.S. Maritimo

Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.S. Maritimo Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaFri, 23 Oct 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Vitoria Guimaraes to win65%

1X2: model backs Vitoria Guimaraes at 65%.

Tofiko65% / 23% / 12%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Draw
  • C.S. Maritimo

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Vitoria Guimaraes or draw88%
  • Draw or C.S. Maritimo35%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes or C.S. Maritimo77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.544%
  • Under 2.556%

Both teams to score

  • Vitoria Guimaraes, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • C.S. Maritimo, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (303 games)50%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 65.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 5 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Vitoria Guimaraes: LWDLD

C.S. Maritimo: LDLLL

Head-to-head

As of 11 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 6Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-04-29Maritimo vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–2
2022-11-13Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo1–0
2022-03-13Maritimo vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–1
2021-10-22Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo2–1
2021-05-16Maritimo vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–0
2021-01-31Vitoria Guimaraes vs Maritimo1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.S. Maritimo?
Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.S. Maritimo kick off?
Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs C.S. Maritimo head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureMaritimo vs Vitória SC14 Mar 2027 →