FC Aroucavs
FC FamalicaoFC Arouca vs FC Famalicao Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Arouca or draw66%
1X2: model backs FC Arouca at 38% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- FC Arouca
- Draw
- FC Famalicao
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Arouca or draw66%
- Draw or FC Famalicao62%
- FC Arouca or FC Famalicao72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.546%
- Under 2.554%
Both teams to score
- FC Arouca, last 10 home games6 of 10
- FC Famalicao, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Arouca, rating it at 37.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Arouca won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Arouca: WDLDW
FC Famalicao: WDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.80Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
| 2026-03-06 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-05 | FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao | 1–2 |
| 2024-11-09 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-23 | FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao | 3–2 |
| 2023-09-22 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-03 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-10 | FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao | 4–1 |
| 2022-01-31 | FC Famalicao vs FC Arouca | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Arouca (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao kick off?
- Sun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Arouca vs FC Famalicao head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.