FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaMon, 09 Feb 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Famalicao 3–1 AVS Futebol SAD
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Famalicao69%
- FC Famalicao 69%
- Draw 21%
- AVS Futebol SAD 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 69.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Famalicao won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 69.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AVS Futebol SAD's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC Famalicao's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Famalicao: DLDDW
AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Famalicao | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD | 4–1 |
| 2024-11-03 | AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Famalicao | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD kick off?
- Mon, 09 Feb 2026 18:45 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.