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FC Famalicao crestFC FamalicaovsAVS Futebol SAD crestAVS Futebol SAD

FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaMon, 09 Feb 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: FC Famalicao 31 AVS Futebol SAD

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Famalicao69%

FC Famalicao 69%
Draw 21%
AVS Futebol SAD 10%
  • FC Famalicao 69%
  • Draw 21%
  • AVS Futebol SAD 10%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 69.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC Famalicao won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 69.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. AVS Futebol SAD's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC Famalicao's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Famalicao: DLDDW

AVS Futebol SAD: DWWLD

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-09FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD3–1
2025-08-30AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Famalicao0–1
2025-03-30FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD4–1
2024-11-03AVS Futebol SAD vs FC Famalicao2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD?
Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD kick off?
Mon, 09 Feb 2026 18:45 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Famalicao vs AVS Futebol SAD head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.

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