SL Benfica crestSL BenficavsFC Famalicao crestFC Famalicao

SL Benfica vs FC Famalicao Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SL Benfica76%

  • SL Benfica 76%
  • Draw 18%
  • FC Famalicao 6%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick SL Benfica, rating it at 75.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SL Benfica won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. SL Benfica's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Famalicao's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 18.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • SL Benfica's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SL Benfica: WWWWD

FC Famalicao: DLLDL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.40Avg goals
  • 20%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02FC Famalicao vs SL Benfica2–2
2025-12-22SL Benfica vs FC Famalicao1–0
2025-01-17SL Benfica vs FC Famalicao4–0
2024-08-11FC Famalicao vs SL Benfica2–0
2024-05-05FC Famalicao vs SL Benfica2–0
2023-12-29SL Benfica vs FC Famalicao3–0
2023-03-03SL Benfica vs FC Famalicao2–0
2022-09-10FC Famalicao vs SL Benfica0–1
2022-04-23SL Benfica vs FC Famalicao0–0
2021-12-12FC Famalicao vs SL Benfica1–4

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FAQ

Who will win SL Benfica vs FC Famalicao?
Tofiko's model favours SL Benfica (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SL Benfica vs FC Famalicao kick off?
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the SL Benfica vs FC Famalicao head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.

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