FC Famalicao crestFC FamalicaovsCD Nacional crestCD Nacional

FC Famalicao vs CD Nacional Prediction, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

FC Famalicao to win65%

1X2: model backs FC Famalicao at 65%.

Tofiko65% / 24% / 11%
  • FC Famalicao
  • Draw
  • CD Nacional

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • FC Famalicao or draw89%
  • Draw or CD Nacional35%
  • FC Famalicao or CD Nacional76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.542%
  • Under 2.558%

Both teams to score

  • FC Famalicao, last 10 home games2 of 10
  • CD Nacional, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 65.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and FC Famalicao won 4 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. CD Nacional's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. FC Famalicao's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • CD Nacional's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Famalicao: WDDDL

CD Nacional: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 7Games
  • 2.14Avg goals
  • 29%Both scored
  • 57%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-19CD Nacional vs FC Famalicao0–4
2026-03-21FC Famalicao vs CD Nacional1–0
2025-11-01CD Nacional vs FC Famalicao0–1
2025-03-01CD Nacional vs FC Famalicao2–1
2024-09-29FC Famalicao vs CD Nacional0–0
2021-05-16FC Famalicao vs CD Nacional3–0
2021-01-30CD Nacional vs FC Famalicao2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Famalicao vs CD Nacional?
Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Famalicao vs CD Nacional kick off?
Sun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Famalicao vs CD Nacional head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.14 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legNacional 0-4 Famalicao19 Sept 2026 →