FC Famalicao crestFC FamalicaovsSporting CP crestSporting CP

FC Famalicao 1-1 Sporting CP — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sporting CP63%

  • FC Famalicao 16%
  • Draw 21%
  • Sporting CP 63%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 63.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Famalicao won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

FC Famalicao: DDDLL

Sporting CP: DWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-13FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP1–1
2026-02-15Sporting CP vs FC Famalicao1–0
2025-09-13FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP1–2
2025-03-15Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Famalicao3–1
2024-10-26FC Famalicao vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–3
2024-04-16FC Famalicao vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–1
2023-08-27Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Famalicao1–0
2023-04-30Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Famalicao2–1
2022-11-13FC Famalicao vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–2
2022-02-06Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Famalicao2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureSporting CP vs Famalicao21 Feb 2027 →