FC Famalicao crestFC FamalicaovsC.D. Tondela crestC.D. Tondela

FC Famalicao 3-0 C.D. Tondela — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 25 Jan 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Famalicao61%

  • FC Famalicao 61%
  • Draw 23%
  • C.D. Tondela 16%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 61.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and FC Famalicao won 4 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

FC Famalicao: DLLDL

C.D. Tondela: LLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 7Games
  • 2.57Avg goals
  • 43%Both scored
  • 57%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela1–0
2026-01-25FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela3–0
2025-08-16C.D. Tondela vs FC Famalicao0–1
2022-02-26FC Famalicao vs Desportivo de Tondela2–1
2021-09-25Desportivo de Tondela vs FC Famalicao3–2
2021-04-26FC Famalicao vs Desportivo de Tondela2–2
2021-01-03Desportivo de Tondela vs FC Famalicao1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela?
Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
Sun, 25 Jan 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.57 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.