FC Famalicao 3-0 C.D. Tondela — Result, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 25 Jan 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Famalicao61%
- FC Famalicao 61%
- Draw 23%
- C.D. Tondela 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Famalicao, rating it at 61.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and FC Famalicao won 4 of 7, with 1 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Famalicao: DLLDL
C.D. Tondela: LLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 2.57Avg goals
- 43%Both scored
- 57%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-25 | FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela | 3–0 |
| 2025-08-16 | C.D. Tondela vs FC Famalicao | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-26 | FC Famalicao vs Desportivo de Tondela | 2–1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Desportivo de Tondela vs FC Famalicao | 3–2 |
| 2021-04-26 | FC Famalicao vs Desportivo de Tondela | 2–2 |
| 2021-01-03 | Desportivo de Tondela vs FC Famalicao | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Famalicao (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
- Sun, 25 Jan 2026 18:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Famalicao vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.57 goals per game.