FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto78%
- FC Porto 78%
- Draw 17%
- Rio Ave F.C. 5%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 77.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 7 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 17.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Porto: WWWWW
Rio Ave F.C.: LWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 145 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Porto | 0–2 |
| 2026-02-22 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Porto | 0–3 |
| 2025-02-03 | Rio Ave FC vs FC Porto | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-24 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave FC | 2–0 |
| 2024-02-03 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave | 0–0 |
| 2023-08-28 | Rio Ave vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2023-02-18 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-28 | Rio Ave vs FC Porto | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-15 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.