FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Porto to win78%
1X2: model backs FC Porto at 78%.
- FC Porto
- Draw
- Rio Ave F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Porto or draw95%
- Draw or Rio Ave F.C.22%
- FC Porto or Rio Ave F.C.83%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- FC Porto, last 10 home games3 of 10
- Rio Ave F.C., last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (304 games)49%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 77.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Porto won 7 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rio Ave F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Porto: WWWWL
Rio Ave F.C.: WLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Porto | 0–2 |
| 2026-02-22 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Rio Ave F.C. vs FC Porto | 0–3 |
| 2025-02-03 | Rio Ave FC vs FC Porto | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-24 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave FC | 2–0 |
| 2024-02-03 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave | 0–0 |
| 2023-08-28 | Rio Ave vs FC Porto | 1–2 |
| 2023-02-18 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-28 | Rio Ave vs FC Porto | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-15 | FC Porto vs Rio Ave | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs Rio Ave F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.