FC Portovs
C.D. TondelaFC Porto vs C.D. Tondela Prediction, H2H & Stats
Primeira LigaSun, 19 Apr 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC Porto 2–0 C.D. Tondela
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Porto84%
- FC Porto 84%
- Draw 13%
- C.D. Tondela 3%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Porto, rating it at 83.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and FC Porto won all of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 12.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Porto: WWLWW
C.D. Tondela: LDLLW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | FC Porto vs C.D. Tondela | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-07 | C.D. Tondela vs FC Porto | 0–2 |
| 2022-03-13 | FC Porto vs Desportivo de Tondela | 4–0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Desportivo de Tondela vs FC Porto | 1–3 |
| 2021-04-10 | Desportivo de Tondela vs FC Porto | 0–2 |
| 2020-12-05 | FC Porto vs Desportivo de Tondela | 4–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Porto vs C.D. Tondela?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Porto (84% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Porto vs C.D. Tondela kick off?
- Sun, 19 Apr 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the FC Porto vs C.D. Tondela head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.