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Gil Vicente FC crestGil Vicente FCvsSporting CP crestSporting CP

Gil Vicente FC vs Sporting CP Prediction, H2H & Stats

Primeira LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sporting CP71%

Gil Vicente FC 8%
Draw 21%
Sporting CP 71%
  • Gil Vicente FC 8%
  • Draw 21%
  • Sporting CP 71%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 71.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Gil Vicente FC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Sporting CP's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Gil Vicente FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 21.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Sporting CP's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Gil Vicente FC: WDWDL

Sporting CP: WWWWD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente FC3–0
2026-01-02Gil Vicente FC vs Sporting CP1–1
2025-05-04Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Gil Vicente FC2–1
2024-12-22Gil Vicente FC vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–0
2024-04-12Gil Vicente vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–4
2023-12-04Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Gil Vicente3–1
2023-04-05Gil Vicente vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–0
2022-09-30Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Gil Vicente3–1
2022-05-01Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Gil Vicente4–1
2021-12-18Gil Vicente vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–3

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FAQ

Who will win Gil Vicente FC vs Sporting CP?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Gil Vicente FC vs Sporting CP kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Gil Vicente FC vs Sporting CP head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

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