Vitoria Guimaraesvs
Casa Pia ACVitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, H2H & Form
Primeira LigaSun, 06 Sep 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes61%
- Vitoria Guimaraes 61%
- Draw 25%
- Casa Pia AC 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 60.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Casa Pia AC's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 1 of them and conceded in 5. Vitoria Guimaraes's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Vitoria Guimaraes: LWLLW
Casa Pia AC: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 0.88Avg goals
- 13%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia AC | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Casa Pia AC vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia AC | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Casa Pia AC vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia AC | 0–2 |
| 2023-09-23 | Casa Pia AC vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–0 |
| 2023-02-19 | Casa Pia AC vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–0 |
| 2022-08-29 | Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia AC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia AC kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 17:00 GMT — Primeira Liga.
- What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 0.88 goals per game.